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Incident 374: UK Ofqual's Algorithm Disproportionately Provided Lower Grades Than Teachers' Assessments

Description: UK Office of Qualifications and Examinations Regulation (Ofqual)'s grade-standardization algorithm providing predicted grades for A level and GCSE qualifications in the UK, Wales, Northern Ireland, and Scotland was reportedly giving grades lower than teachers' assessments, and disproportionately for state schools.

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Alleged: UK Office of Qualifications and Examinations Regulation developed and deployed an AI system, which harmed A-level pupils , GCSE pupils , pupils in state schools and underprivileged pupils.

Incident Stats

Incident ID
374
Report Count
8
Incident Date
2020-08-13
Editors
Khoa Lam
Applied Taxonomies
MIT

MIT Taxonomy Classifications

Machine-Classified
Taxonomy Details

Risk Subdomain

A further 23 subdomains create an accessible and understandable classification of hazards and harms associated with AI
 

1.3. Unequal performance across groups

Risk Domain

The Domain Taxonomy of AI Risks classifies risks into seven AI risk domains: (1) Discrimination & toxicity, (2) Privacy & security, (3) Misinformation, (4) Malicious actors & misuse, (5) Human-computer interaction, (6) Socioeconomic & environmental harms, and (7) AI system safety, failures & limitations.
 
  1. Discrimination and Toxicity

Entity

Which, if any, entity is presented as the main cause of the risk
 

AI

Timing

The stage in the AI lifecycle at which the risk is presented as occurring
 

Post-deployment

Intent

Whether the risk is presented as occurring as an expected or unexpected outcome from pursuing a goal
 

Unintentional

Incident Reports

Reports Timeline

+7
Controversial exams algorithm to set 97% of GCSE results
The Algorithmic Imprint
Controversial exams algorithm to set 97% of GCSE results

Controversial exams algorithm to set 97% of GCSE results

theguardian.com

A-levels and GCSEs: How did the exam algorithm work?

A-levels and GCSEs: How did the exam algorithm work?

bbc.com

UK ditches exam results generated by biased algorithm after student protests

UK ditches exam results generated by biased algorithm after student protests

theverge.com

Ofqual ignored exams warning a month ago amid ministers' pressure

Ofqual ignored exams warning a month ago amid ministers' pressure

theguardian.com

Ofqual chief to face MPs over exams fiasco and botched algorithm grading

Ofqual chief to face MPs over exams fiasco and botched algorithm grading

theguardian.com

Ofqual's A-level algorithm: why did it fail to make the grade?

Ofqual's A-level algorithm: why did it fail to make the grade?

theguardian.com

How a computer algorithm caused a grading crisis in British schools

How a computer algorithm caused a grading crisis in British schools

cnbc.com

The Algorithmic Imprint

The Algorithmic Imprint

dl.acm.org

Controversial exams algorithm to set 97% of GCSE results
theguardian.com · 2020

Nearly 5 million GCSEs will this week be awarded using a controversial model which education experts fear could lead to even more results being downgraded than in last week’s A-levels fiasco.

According to analysis shared with the Observer, …

A-levels and GCSEs: How did the exam algorithm work?
bbc.com · 2020

GCSE students in England, Northern Ireland and Wales are receiving results based on teacher assessments, after a last-minute change to the system.

They were originally due to receive marks worked out in a mathematical model, or algorithm, b…

UK ditches exam results generated by biased algorithm after student protests
theverge.com · 2020

The UK has said that students in England and Wales will no longer receive exam results based on a controversial algorithm after accusations that the system was biased against students from poorer backgrounds, Reuters and BBC News report. T…

Ofqual ignored exams warning a month ago amid ministers' pressure
theguardian.com · 2020

Ofqual was warned at least a month ago of flaws in the exams algorithm that left thousands of students devastated, but the regulator pressed ahead amid longstanding ministerial pressure to prevent grade inflation, the Guardian understands.

…
Ofqual chief to face MPs over exams fiasco and botched algorithm grading
theguardian.com · 2020

Ofqual’s chief executive, Sally Collier, is expected to be hauled before MPs early next month to face questions about the exams fiasco, it has emerged.

Collier has made no public appearance or statement since the exams regulator announced i…

Ofqual's A-level algorithm: why did it fail to make the grade?
theguardian.com · 2020

For such a short string of algebraic symbols, there is a lot we can learn from Ofqual’s grading algorithm (though really it is an equation) – and a lot we can learn about what went wrong.

First and most obviously, the size of the algorithm …

How a computer algorithm caused a grading crisis in British schools
cnbc.com · 2020

Gavin Williamson, U.K. defence secretary, arrives for a weekly meeting of cabinet ministers at number 10 Downing Street in London, U.K., on Tuesday, April 23, 2019.

Britain is in the throes of a nationwide grading debacle after an automated…

The Algorithmic Imprint
dl.acm.org · 2022

When algorithmic harms emerge, a reasonable response is to stop using the algorithm to resolve concerns related to fairness, accountability, transparency, and ethics (FATE). However, just because an algorithm is removed does not imply its F…

Variants

A "variant" is an incident that shares the same causative factors, produces similar harms, and involves the same intelligent systems as a known AI incident. Rather than index variants as entirely separate incidents, we list variations of incidents under the first similar incident submitted to the database. Unlike other submission types to the incident database, variants are not required to have reporting in evidence external to the Incident Database. Learn more from the research paper.

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